Prediction Market Odds Aren't Intelligence (And That's Dangerous)

They can't harm you, if they can't find you! Use code ryan at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/ryan Can prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket become tools of disinformation during war? Prediction markets can be useful. They can show what traders think might happen next. But in a conflict, a market price can be misread as proof, screenshots can go viral without context, rumors can move markets, and insider information can expose real-world operations. In this video, I break down how betting markets could be exploited during a crisis, why “market odds” are not intelligence assessments, and how adversaries could use rumor, money, bots, and screenshots to shape public opinion before the truth catches up. Because in the fog of war, even numbers can be used as smoke. For uncensored video, check out my substack at: https://ryanmcbeth.substack.com Find the Global Warning Podcast on: Spotify : https://open.spotify.com/show/23JULpVI2lVBEl4PVh07t0 Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/global-warning-with-ryan-mcbeth/id1882061844 Like my shirts? Get your own at: https://www.bunkerbranding.com/pages/ryan-mcbeth Want a personalized greeting: https://www.cameo.com/ryanmcbeth Watch all of my long form videos: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLt670_P7pOGmLWZG78JlM-rG2ZrpPziOy Twitter: @ryanmcbeth Instagram: @therealryanmcbeth BlueSky @ryanmcbeth Reddit: /r/ryanmcbeth Join the conversation: https://discord.gg/pKuGDHZHrz Want to send me something? Ryan McBeth Productions LLC 8705 Colesville Rd. Suite 249 Silver Spring, MD 20910 USA