Look Out AGAIN - Tornado Threat with LIVE Chasers

🌪️ SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK – Saturday, April 25, 2026 (11:31Z Update) SPC Risk Level: MODERATE (Level 4 of 5) Valid through April 25, 2026 7:00 PM CDT Saturday 📍 Major Cities in Risk Zones 🔴 MODERATE Risk: Oklahoma City, OK, Tulsa, OK, Wichita Falls, TX, Ardmore, OK 🟡 SLIGHT Risk: Dallas, TX, Shreveport, LA, Lawton, OK, Texarkana, TX 🟢 MARGINAL Risk: Kansas City, MO, Springfield, MO, Little Rock, AR 🌪️ Tornado Risk Zones 🔴 15% Tornado Risk (supercells with potential for strong tornadoes): Oklahoma City, OK, Tulsa, OK, Ardmore, OK, Wichita Falls, TX 🟡 10% Tornado Risk (isolated tornadoes possible with supercells): Dallas, TX, Lawton, OK, Texarkana, TX What the Percentages Mean A 15% tornado risk means there is a a 1 in 7 chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. The highest risk area includes the potential for a few strong (EF-2+) tornadoes associated with intense supercells near the warm front and dryline intersections. 📝 Overview A moderate risk of severe thunderstorms is forecast across central and eastern Oklahoma and far north Texas late this afternoon through tonight. Very large to giant hail (2 to 4+ inches) is expected along with tornadoes and scattered damaging winds. The environment features strong to locally extreme instability with MLCAPE values between 2500-4000+ J/kg, supported by steep mid-level lapse rates and seasonably cool temperatures aloft. Storm initiation is expected by mid to late afternoon near the warm front and dryline intersections, with effective bulk shear around 40-50 kt supporting intense supercells and multiple storm splits. Locally enhanced low-level shear near the warm front will aid tornado potential, including a conditional threat for a few strong tornadoes. Overnight, storms may grow upscale into clusters producing damaging winds as they move southeast across the Red River and ArkLaTex region. Farther north into the central Plains, weaker instability will limit severe threats to isolated hail and wind with scattered supercells and small clusters. In the Lower Mississippi Valley and Middle Gulf Coast, redevelopment of strong storms is possible late tonight in the wake of earlier convection. ⛈️ Hazards Include 🧊 Very large to giant hail (2–4+ inches possible with supercells) 🌪️ Tornadoes (including a few strong EF-2+ tornadoes possible) 💨 Scattered damaging winds (gusts increasing overnight with storm clusters) 🕓 Timeline 3 PM–6 PM CDT: Thunderstorm initiation near warm front and dryline intersections 6 PM–9 PM CDT: Intensification of supercells with large hail and tornado potential 9 PM–12 AM CDT: Storms grow upscale; damaging wind threat increases across ArkLaTex 12 AM–6 AM CDT: Continued scattered severe storms possible in southern Plains and ArkLaTex 📌 Regional Notes 🔴 Central/Eastern Oklahoma → Oklahoma City area: Strong to violent supercells with large hail and tornadoes expected 🟡 North Texas → Wichita Falls to Dallas: Isolated intense storms with hail and tornado risk 🟢 Central Plains → Kansas/Nebraska: Isolated hail and wind with weaker storms ⚠️ Stay Weather-Aware Residents in central and eastern Oklahoma and far north Texas should remain alert this afternoon and evening for rapidly intensifying severe thunderstorms capable of producing very large hail and strong tornadoes. Monitor updates especially near Oklahoma City, Tulsa, and Wichita Falls as conditions evolve. ——————————— In-Vehicle Driver, Man-of-Action - @ReedTimmerWx Navigator, Man-of-Music - @localmanweatherofficial Engineer, Man-of-Iron - @willclay25 Studio Guy in the corner - @brianvotoole, but he doesn't really post anything. he's just laying in the cut, you know? Thanks United Cajun Navy - https://unitedcajunnavy.org/