What are we scaling?

Read the transcript here: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-ai-progress-dec-2025 Toby Ord: How Well Does RL Scale https://www.tobyord.com/writing/how-well-does-rl-scale Beren Millidge: Most Algorithmic Progress is Data Progress by https://www.beren.io/2025-08-02-Most-Algorithmic-Progress-is-Data-Progress/ TIMESTAMPS 00:00:13 What are we scaling? 00:03:11 The value of human labor 00:05:19 Economic diffusion lag is cope 00:06:36 Goal-post shifting is justified 00:08:23 RL scaling 00:09:33 Broadly deployed intelligence explosion