Buy Hold Sell: Which ASX stocks win as oil prices fall? (plus 2 surprise picks)

Just weeks ago, markets were pricing in the risk of a prolonged conflict in the Middle East, with oil surging as investors feared disruptions to global supply. Today, much of that geopolitical risk premium has unwound. Brent crude has retreated to around its pre-war levels following a US-Iran peace agreement, even as fresh flare-ups serve as a reminder that the situation remains far from settled. Whether the recent pullback in oil proves temporary or not, investors are already asking the next question: who stands to benefit? The obvious winners are businesses with large fuel bills. But lower oil prices can ripple through the economy in unexpected ways, easing input costs and lifting consumer spending. Joining Livewire’s Anna Dadic are Henry Jennings from Marcus Today and Michael Wayne from Medallion Financial, to debate four stocks that could be lesser-known beneficiaries of the recent retreat in oil prices, examining whether they offer compelling exposure to cheaper energy, or whether the market has already priced in the upside. We also asked each guest to nominate a stock they see as an unexpected winner from the fall in oil prices. This episode was filmed Wednesday 24th June, 2026. Check out the full article on Livewire here: https://bit.ly/4aZ0zo1 Timecodes: 00:10 - Intro 00:40 - Investing around geopolitical catalysts 02:20 - Is the obvious trade already priced in? 03:43 - Kelsian (ASX: KLS) 06:40 - Elders (ASX: ELD) 09:20 - Orica (ASX: ORI) 12:43 - Super Retail Group (ASX: SUL) 16:40 - Smart Parking (ASX: SPZ) 18:00 - CTI Logistics (ASX: CLX)